Service Plays Sunday 1/24/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL


NY Jets at Indianapolis
The Jets look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog. New York is the pick (+8) according to Dunkel, which has the Colts favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+8). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 24

Game 301-302: NY Jets at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 141.004; Indianapolis 146.897
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 6; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 8; 39
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+8); Over

Game 303-304: Minnesota at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.779; New Orleans 140.363
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Sunday, January 24

NY JETS (11 - 7) at INDIANAPOLIS (15 - 2) - 1/24/2010, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (13 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (14 - 3) - 1/24/2010, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Sunday, January 24th

AFC Championship Game TV: CBS

NY Jets at Indianapolis, 3:00 ET

NY Jets:
22-9 Under off 3+ SU wins
86-60 Under off an Under

Indianapolis:
8-2 ATS off ATS win
20-8 ATS revenging loss by 14+ pts


NFC Championship Game TV: FOX

Minnesota at New Orleans, 6:40 ET

Minnesota:
21-9 Over Away off BB home games
8-2 Over vs. New Orleans

New Orleans:
11-3 Over off home win
24-12 Over vs. conference

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL ADDITIONAL

Conference Championships

Sunday, January 24

Trend Report

3:00 PM
NY JETS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
NY Jets are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
NY Jets are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Indianapolis is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games

6:40 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Minnesota is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AFC Championship: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

It will be a David vs. Goliath-like battle when the Final 2 from the AFC battle for the Lamar Hunt Trophy on Sunday.

The Indianapolis Colts, who are “supposed to be in the AFC title game,” will host the New York Jets, who “weren’t even supposed to make the playoffs” and on top of that, we’ll see the tried, tested and true QB Peyton Manning dueling with the rookie signal-caller Mark Sanchez.

Online sportsbooks opened Indy as a 7.5 point favorite (a couple books opened Indy -7 early but it immediately went to 7.5 across the board), and now has moved to -8. The total is set at 40.5.

The betting action has leveled off after the initial spike of Colt money early. If you’re thinking about betting on the Jets you might as well wait, as this line isn’t going to come down and could continue to rise a little.

Let’s look at some numbers from this matchup.

Indy is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games (remember they didn’t care about the last couple of games on their schedule).

Note that in their most recent eight games vs. teams from the AFC East, the result has been 6 Overs and 2 Unders.

However, bettors who played the Colts haven’t seen much of a payout in Indy’s last 10 games against the Jets, going 3-6-1 ATS.

You don’t have to look too far back to their last meeting.

It was a controversial game a few weeks ago that resulted in a road win for the Jets, as they handed Indianapolis its first loss of the regular season (by a final of 29-15) but many of the Colts starters were on the bench in the second half of the game.

The Jets covered as 4-point road ‘dogs and the Total went Over 41.

In their last nine home games in January, the Colts have been a solid 6-3 ATS.

The Jets have been road warriors in their last 10 away from the Big Apple as they are 7-3 ATS and are currently on a five-game ATS win streak in that situation.

In the green and white’s last eight games overall, they are a red-hot 7-1 ATS, including going 2-0 ATS so far in these NFL playoffs.

In the Jets’ last eight games when listed as underdogs of 8-points or less, they are 7-1 ATS.

Will Peyton Manning go for the second Super Bowl of his career or will Mark Sanchez cap his rookie season with a Super Bowl appearance?

We’ll see this weekend.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFC championship: Vikings at Saints

While the AFC championship features greenhorn Mark Sanchez against wily vet Peyton Manning, the NFC title game will see two experienced QBs going head to head in the New Orleans Saints’ Drew Brees and the Minnesota Vikings’ Brett Favre.

Going into Sunday’s tilt, online sportsbooks have New Orleans listed as a 3.5-point home fave and the Total is currently 53.

The Saints are favored by a field goal in first half betting and the Total for the first two quarters is set at 26.5.

Furt Smeckly is reporting balanced action on this game, much more so than the AFC matchup between the Jets and Colts.

The NFC’s Top 2 seeds performed similarly in the divisional round, handily defeating their opponents.

The Saints covered as 7-point home faves as they defeated the Arizona Cardinals 45-14 and the Vikes stopped Tony Romo and the surging Dallas Cowboys in a 34-3 win — Minnesota covered as a 3-point home favorite.

Let’s look at some betting numbers from this matchup:

NFC Championship Trends:

- In their last nine games overall, Minnesota has the edge over New Orleans, going 8-1 straight up and 6-3 against the spread.

- The last nine games between these two teams have produced 1 Over, 7 Unders and 1 Push. .

- New Orleans has a record of 14 Overs and 3 Unders in their last 17 starts vs. teams from the NFC North.

- The Saints are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 starts.

- The last 11 January road games have not been kind to Minnesota and its bettors, as the Vikings are 1-10 SU and 1-10 ATS.

- The Saints haven’t been too sharp either though in January, as they are only 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS.

- The last 13 times New Orleans has been favored by 4-points or less, it has been a boon for bettors, as they boats a record of 10-3 ATS. In this situation, they have scored 11 Overs and 2 Unders.

- Minnesota, on the other hand, has burned a hole in bettors’ pockets in their last 13 games when underdogs of +4 or less; as they have a record of 3-10 SU and 3-8-2 ATS in that situation.

Super Bowl Odds:
In Super Bowl XLIV futures betting, the Saints are +200 favorites while the Vikings are +400.

Both teams have a lot of offensive weapons so the NFC title game should be a good one.

Good luck.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Randall the Handle NFL

Minnesota +3½ over NEW ORLEANS
Play: Minnesota +3½ (No bets).

N.Y. Jets +8 over INDIANAPOLIS
Play: N.Y. Jets +8 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's NFL

4 Unit Play – #302 Take Indianapolis -7 ½ over NY Jets

4 Unit Play – #303 Take Minnesota + 3 ½ over New Orleans

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

Colts-7 bought the half 5*

 

[pizza]

LANG on DAILY NEWS LIVE in PHILLY

OVER 20 1st half COLTS
OVER 40 COLTS
OVER 26.5 VIKES 1st HALF
VIKES + 2 1st HALF
VIKES over 53 ( 2 FOR THE $ )

100 DIME ON SUNDAY

 

[Anthonyd4]

Parsons' ***Jets/Colts ATS ROUT***
Nick enjoyed an awesome regular season, highlighted by MANY big wins; so far in the Playoffs Nick is 6-4 (60%), having hit his NFL Playoff "GOY" on the Cards and going 2-1 with *10*'s last weekend. Nick absolutely loves this game. Jets? Colts? The answer is a click-a-way! Be there


Colts

 

[Anthonyd4]

Nick's *10* "BOOKIEKILLER"! ~64% *10* RUN~
$$ Signature Top Play $$ Nick Parsons is enjoying an INSANE post-season and went 2-1 with his *10* selections in the Divisional Round, easily nailing his SIGNATURE TOP PLAY "BOOKIEKILLER" on the Colts! Congrats to all who joined! Since Dec 1st 2009 Nick is 30-17 (64%) with NFL *10* selections; get down on this before the line moves


Saints

 

[Anthonyd4]

Burns AFTERNOON NFL ANNIHILATOR! (MASSIVE 6-1 L7!)
Ben Burns went a TERRIFIC 10-3-1 last weekend. If factoring in the MLK Day holiday, he was a MASSIVE 14-5-1. That included a TRIO OF DOUBLE-DIGIT NFL WINNERS. Including those results, he's now a POWERFUL 59-34 his L93 NFL playoff bets. Want more? He's also on a SIZZLING 6-1 RUN with his L7 "Annihilators!" More of the same here!


Colts

 

[Anthonyd4]

**100% RUN** Burns' Championship GAME OF THE YEAR!
Ben Burns simply SLAUGHTERED the books in the Divisional Rd. producing a TRIO OF DOUBLE-DIGIT WINNERS. That included a 45-14 LAUGHER with his Playoff Game of the Year. He's now an absolutely AWESOME 59-34 his L93 NFL Playoff Picks. Want more? He's also a PERFECT 3-0 his L3 NFL 10* bets. Here's his VERY BIGGEST of the 3rd Rd!

Saints

 

[brewerfan003]

Teddy Covers anyone???

Sevransky says: "Saints minus-3.5 is still the prevailing number, but one of the leading books is down to minus-3. I don't know that it will stay there but I think it will kick off at 3.5. The wise guys who wouldn't lay the 3.5 would probably be willing to lay the three. There has been some significant wise guy support on the Vikings. But I like the Saints large; it's my big ticket game. I think New Orleans was the better running team the second half of the season and its defense is underrated, especially after Minnesota's performance last week. The Vikes didn't have to play against the Cowboys' best players on the offensive line. Flozell Adams was out and Marc Colombo was playing on one leg. Meanwhile, their D got beat up on the road pretty good this season. The Saints are a big-play D that protected a lot of big leads, which is why their stats won't overwhelm you."




Sevransky says: "This has been the one wise guy move, which was the initial line movement on the Colts, with wise guys thinking the game would get higher as the weekend neared and buy back some Jets. But so far it's been good two-way action. There are a couple places at Colts minus-8 but think it will close around seven. The biggest opinion right now is on the total for the under. There is a fair amount of disrespect for the Colts on both sides of football. Statistically the Indy D has been mediocre at best. Its best weapon is actually Peyton Manning, who limits the other team's snaps. Last week, Baltimore had just 55. But Indy can't hold leads in the fourth quarter because it doesn't run very well. And the Jets are the best defense they will have faced all year."



i read this on espn insider as i have an insider account

so i am 100% sure he has his big ticket play on the saints....
as for the jets game....i am not sure...i am guessing the under or jets
:modemman:

 

[Sirduke]

Sirduke Sports

<TABLE border=1 cellSpacing=0 bgColor=#ffffff><CAPTION>Sirduke Sports NFL Division Finals</CAPTION><THEAD><TR><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Date</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Kick Off</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Club Rating</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rotation</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Selection</TH><TH bgColor=#c0c0c0 borderColor=#000000>Rating</TH></TR></THEAD><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1/24/2010</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>3:00:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Members</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>301</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>NY Jets +7.5</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>5*</TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>1/24/2010</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5 align=right>6:40:00 PM</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Elite Club</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>303</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>Minnesota Vikings +3.5</TD><TD borderColor=#d0d7e5>10* Elite Club</TD></TR></TBODY><TFOOT></TFOOT></TABLE>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

sports book breakers

4.5 STAR Minnesota and New Orleans Under 53 - This is the case of two offenses that looked invincible last week. That has driven the total higher than it should be here. Quietly, the defensive sides of the ball also dominated those games. Unlike the Cardinals, both these teams do have the ability to make a play to stall a drive. Minnesota dominated Dallas last week, 34-3, running up the score in the process. The Vikings were a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 37 in that game. Minnesota is 0-21 OU (-7.6 ppg) since December 14, 2003 after a game where they covered by at least five points where the total was at least 41 (team=Vikings and p:ats margin>=5 and 41.5<=p:total and 20031214<=date). Minnesota led 17-3 at the half of that game. The Vikings are 0-14-1 OU (-6.5 ppg) since December 14, 2003 when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last game at home (team=Vikings and 10<=p:margin and 7<=p:M2 and p:H and 20031214<=date). They score more than nine points more than expected in that game while the total still stayed under. Minnesota is 0-13 (-7.1 ppg) since December 14, 2003 after they scored more than expected last game which went under (team=Vikings and 0<=date). The Vikings won the battle of turnovers in that game, 3-0. Minnesota is 0-15 OU (-6.6 ppg) since December 14, 2003 after a game which they forced at least one turnover and did not commit any if they weren't a TD+ dog in that game(team=Vikings and p:turnovers=0 and p:TOM<=-1 and p:line<7 and 20031214<=date). Over the last several seasons, Minnesota has not been able to duplicate a big scoring day at home the next week. The Vikings are 0-7 OU (-7.8 ppg) since December 14, 2003 on the road the week after scoring 34+ points at home (team=Vikings and A and 34<=points and p:H and 20031214<=date). New Orleans also did not commit any turnovers last week in their win against Arizona. The Saints are 0-9 OU (-10.1 ppg) since October 11, 1992 as a home favorite the week after a win in which they committed no turnovers (team=Saints and HF and p:turnovers=0 and p:W and 19921011<=date) Teams that score big in playoff games have not been able to duplicate that next game. Teams are 0-9 OU (-5.1 ppg) in playoff database history (since 2002) after a playoff game which they scored more than 37 points with a total less than 57, allowed more than 10 points and have not won by an average of more than 20 in their last three games (playoffs=1 and points>=37 and total<57 and pooints>10 and p:margin+pp:margin+ppp:margin<60). Both offensives would need to be unaffected by solid defenses which can force mistakes in this on for this to go over this total. We don't see that happening. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS 27, Minnesota 1



4-STAR NY Jets and Indianapolis Under 39 - The Jets are going to have to keep the scoring down to have a chance in this game. Indianapolis is going to be content to move the ball down the field meticulously, picking their spots and not taking unnecessary chances. They should know after these first two playoff games that the Jets need teams to make mistakes in order to win. Look for the Colts to avoid those by going with a safe, ball control game plan. New York will play that style ball as well, because they have no other choice. This is exactly what the Jets did last week, in their 17-14 win against San Diego. New York punted eight times and let the Chargers shoot themselves in the foot enough to win. The Jets are 0-12 OU (-13.6 ppg) since December 17, 1995 after a Sunday game in which they punted at least eight times (team=Jets and punts>=8 and p:day=Sunday and date>=19951217). Having played Saturday the week before, the Jets had an extra day rest before the San Diego game, which had a total of 42.5. New York is 0-11 (-13.0 ppg) since October 19, 2003 after a game that went under which they had extra rest for (team=Jets and p:U and 6<=date). The Jets were trailing, 7-3, after the third quarter of that game before prevailing. The League is 0-7 OU (-12.6 ppg) since December 19, 1999 as a road dog after a win on the road as a 6.5+ point dog in which they were losing or tied at the end of the third quarter (AD and p:AW and 6.5<=p:line and p:M3<=0 and 19991219<=date). New York scored slightly less than expected in that win. The Jets are 0-9 OU (-8.8 ppg) since September 11, 2000 the week after a win on the road in which their dps was negative if they didn't win the second half by more than 10 points (team=Jets and p:AW and p:dps<0 and p:M4-p:M2<12 and 20000911<=date). Indianapolis was up 17-3 after three quarters on their way to a 20-3 victory. The Colts are 0-8-1 OU (-6.3 ppg) since December 14, 2003 as not a 2 TD+ favorite after a game which they were up at least 10 after the third quarter and had less than two sacks (team=Colts and line>-14 and 10<=p:M3 and p:sacks<2 and 20031214<=date). New York has controlled the ball for 32:08 a game this year. The Colts are 0-7 OU (-13.3 ppg) since September 18, 2005 at home when facing a team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season-to-date, if there was less than 600 passing yards last game (team=Colts and H and 32*60<=Average(o:time of possession@o:team and season) and 20050918<=date and pY+poY<600). The game plan we described at the beginning of this writeup is exactly what the Colts did last week. Baltimore is the most similar team in the league to the Jets, a smash-mouth, run-first, rely on defense throwback. Indianapolis took care of business, 20-3. Expect a similar result. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS 20, NY Jets 6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Al DeMarco
3* Teaser Colts & Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Prez

8* Under Jets/Colts